Who is winning the gay vote? | Simon Jeffery A survey by the social networking site Gaydar puts the Tories ahead of LabourIf there's one demographic that Labour should hope to count on even when others are deserting in droves, it's the gay vote. From the equalisation of the age of consent, to workplace equality legislation and the rules preventing discrimination by adoption agencies, Labour's record on gay issues is impeccable. But an interesting survey out today suggests that David Cameron's attempts to shake off the demons of Section 28 appear to have paid off.It's particularly interesting as the end of the survey period, 18-24 March, coincided with the screening of Cameron's awkward Gay Times interview, where he was asked why his MEPs refused to support a motion condemning a homophobic law in Lithuania. The survey was carried out among 1,500 users of the gay social networking site Gaydar, which means it's self-selecting and we must inject lots of caveats. But helpfully it asked how Gaydar users had voted in 2005, and how they planned to vote in 2010, which gives us a useful comparison.This is how members of the Gaydar survey panel said they had voted in 2005:Labour: 39.9%Conservative: 22.1%Liberal Democrat: 19.8%Did not vote: 6%Other: 4.1%Green: 3.7%Scottish National party: 3.5%Plaid Cymru: 0.9%Unsurprisingly, a big lead for Labour. Compare that with the voting intentions for 2010:Conservative: 28.9%Labour: 27.5%Liberal Democrat: 27%Green: 4.5%Other: 4.3%Don't know: 3.7%Scottish National party: 3.4%Plaid Cymru: 0.7%Is that good for the Tories? Well, this swing is pretty much in line with opinion polls generally. But given that the Tories' gay rights conversion is unproven, and Labour's record is solid, at first glance this appears to be quite an achievement for Cameron.While all polls should be taken with a pi ソーシャルネットワーキングサイトGaydarの調査によって、今後LabourIfの1つは、労働。場合でも、他の群れを成して離脱しているに頼ることを期待する層は、それは、同性愛者投票の保守党を置きます
Guardian Election Daily: Lib Dems launch manifesto as leaders prepare for live debates Vince Cable and Nick Clegg took their turns to spell out Liberal Democrat policies as the party launched its manifesto at Bloomberg's high-tech HQ in London. Cable tells us he doesn't want a fight with the City – and explains why he has taken to calling himself the 'elephant man'. We hear, too, from former leader Ashdown. George Parker, the political editor of the Financial Times, believes he scored a direct hit on Clegg with a question about which way the Lib Dems would jump in a hung parliament. He tells us why.Columnist Martin Kettle is on hand to provide his analysis. He believes the exposure Clegg has had so far will make his party serious players in this campaign.Guardian cartoonist Steve Bell explains how, in his mind at least, the party leaders are starting to morph into one.And Sky's Adam Boulton says he suspects there some backroom deals being done quietly between Labour and the Liberal Democrats. We also catch up with another of this week's manifesto launches: Plaid Cymru's, in Cardiff. The Guardian's Steven Morris was there to take soundings from another party looking hopefully towards the prospect of a hung parliament.We're back tomorrow night for analysis and discussion of the history-making live leaders' TV debate.Steven MorrisMichael WhitePhil MaynardSteve BellPaddy Ashdown
ヴィンスケーブルとニッククレッグは、党ブルームバーグのハイテク本社ロンドンで公約を発表として自由民主党の政策をスペルへの交代
Has Nick Clegg experienced his 'Iowa moment'? Liberal Democrat breakthrough raises prospect that Clegg will win over sympathetic supporters who had feared wasting their vote on an irrelevant partyA handful of Liberal Democrats, who have voiced the hope that Nick Clegg may be Britain's answer to Barack Obama, are clearly getting a little carried away.But here is an interesting thought. Has Clegg experienced an Iowa moment? This idea has been voiced by Tim Shipman, the deputy political editor of the Daily Mail, who covered the 2008 US presidential election for the Sunday Telegraph.Shipman says that Obama achieved a decisive breakthrough when he won the Iowa caucuses in January 2008. This wasn't just because Iowa was the first vote in 2008.The key point for Obama was that he managed to win in a state whose population is almost wholly white. This meant that African-Americans, who had feared that a vote for Obama would be a waste, felt confident about voting for him.Hillary Clinton won the next vote five days later on 8 January - the New Hampshire primary. But Obama scored a decisive victory in the next significant vote on 26 January - in South Carolina - with 55% of the vote, comparedx with 27% for Clinton. And the significance of that? African-Americans comprise a significant proportion of the state's population.Roll forward a few years, cross the Atlantic and here we are in the British general election of 2010. Liberal Democrats have long complained that they are popular but say that natural supporters fear wasting their vote on them.Clegg outlined what could happen if people really believed their vote would count. Speaking at the Lib Dem spring conference last month, long before the recent poll boost, he said:Almost 1 in 4 voters chose the Liberal Democrats at the last election. If that increased to 1 in 3, we could 自由民主党のブレークスルーは、明らかになっているの見通しをクレッグは自民、期待してニッククレッグは、バラクオバマ氏に英国の答えがあります表明しているのは無関係partyA一握りの彼らの投票を無駄に恐れていた思いやりのある支持者に勝つれます発生少し離れて行った
General election now wide open: British PM &$
&$Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown (R), opposition Conservative Party leader David Cameron and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg (L) take part in the first of Britain's leadership election debates at ITV studios with television moderator Alastair Stewart (2nd R) in Manchester April 15, 2010. (Xinhua/Reuters Photo)&$&$
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said on Saturday that the race to win the May 6 ge ... ＆$＆$英国のゴードンブラウン首相（R）は、野党保守党党首デービッドキャメロンと自由民主党のリーダーニッククレッグの（L））研究指導するの英国の一部を最初で選挙討論会第2回『ITV』のスタジオとテレビ司会者アラステアスチュワート（マンチェスターで2010年4月15日
Clegg takes first blood in historic British election debate Nick Clegg broke the duopoly in British politics with a strong performance in last night's historic first televised election debate between the three main party leaders.The Liberal Democrat leader matched Gordon Brown and David... ニッククレッグは、3つの主要政党leaders.The自由民主党のリーダー間の最後の夜の歴史的な最初のテレビ選挙の討論会で強力なパフォーマンスゴードンブラウン、デビッドに一致すると、イギリスの政。複占を破った...
The Business: the Goldman Sachs investigation and the Lib Dem manifesto Aditya Chakrabortty discusses the Goldman Sachs prosecution with the Guardian's head of business Dan Roberts and Ruth Sunderland, business editor of the Observer. Andrew Clark in New York reports that this accusation could seriously hurt the bank's business.Giles Wilkes, chief economist of the Liberal thinktank Centreforum, joins the discussion. In his turn he describes and defends the Liberal Democrat manifesto pledges on the economy. And Carolyn Steel, author of Hungry City, initiates a debate on whether the air transport crisis caused by volcano ash should make us concerned about global interdependency.Aditya ChakraborttyDan RobertsGiles WilkesRuth Sunderland
アーディティヤChakraborttyは、ビジネスダンロバーツとルースサンダーランド、オブザーバーのビジネスエディタのガーディアンの頭とゴールドマンサックスの検察を説明します
