- 世界経済観測
if we hit bottom in march, does that mean better times are ahead? just because we made the bottom of a secular bear market doesn't mean we're in a new bull market . the history is that when you make the bottom of a secular bear market, in almost every situation, there has been a huge rally followed by a long period of churning back and forth in a big, broad trading range, anywhere from three to — in the case of japan — 18 to 20 years. as for the rally, the usual rebound rally after one of these things is 71% over 17 months. the current rally in the u.s. and europe has been about 42% over the last five months. we've gone up faster than most rebounds, but not as far. after the rally is over, i can imagine a trading range for the s p 500 of 1400 to 700 [the s p 500 is currently near 1000]; that could last for five or 10 years, until we really see how we come out of this thing.
if we hit bottom in march, does that mean better times are ahead? just because we made the bottom of a secular bear market doesnu0026#39;t mean weu0026#39;re in a new bull market. the history is that when you make the bottom of a secular bear market, in almost every situation, there has been a huge rally followed by a long period of churning back and forth in a big, broad trading range, anywhere from three to - in the case of japan - 18 to 20 years. as for the rally, the usual rebound rally after one of these things is 71% over 17 months. the current rally in the us and europe has been about 42% over the last five months. weu0026#39;ve gone up faster than most rebounds, but not as far. after the rally is over, i can imagine a trading range for the sp 500 of 1400 to 700 [the sp 500 is currently near 1000]; that could last for five or 10 years, until we really see how we come out of this thing.
- G-TIPZ.
i didn't know my own strength (produced by david foster written by diane warren)
million dollar bill (written by alicia keys produced by kasseem swizz beatz dean)
i look to you (written by and featuring r kelly)
like i never left (featuring akon) (produced by akon written by claude kelly)
a song for you (cover-version, original song by leon russell)
calling you tonight (written by and demo from johnta austin)
nuthin' but love
worth it
for the lovers
i didnu0026#39;t know my own strength (produced by david foster written by diane warren) million dollar bill (written by alicia keys produced by kasseem swizz beatz dean) i look to you (written by and featuring r kelly) like i never left ( featuring akon) (produced by akon written by claude kelly) a song for you (cover-version, original song by leon russell) calling you tonight (written by and demo from johnta austin) nuthin u0026#39;but love worth it for the lovers
- SANDY DENNY
fotheringay 2／fotheringay
fotheringay 2/fotheringay
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